Data lite forecasting tools (No big movies)

The purpose of this page is to provide a data-lite set of forecasting tools, it has been designed to be use on a phone, when data bandwidth is restricted or when a fast data connection is not available .


Solar Disk Observations Section

Latest AIA Observations

Below shows the Latest HMI-B image (Top Image), Latest AIA 304Å image (Middle Image), and latest AIA 193Å image (Bottom Image). Data courtesy of the SDO/AIA/HMI mission teams, NASA.

HMIB


AIA_304


AIA_193

CMEs Section

CACTUS

Below shows the latest CME detections, courtesy of the CACTus CME catalog, generated and maintained by the SIDC at the Royal Observatory of Belgium.

Cactus detections

Flare Observations Section

GOES 3 Day Flux

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Goes 3-day Plot

Latest GOES Flare Data

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flare detections, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Created: 2021 Mar 03 0847 UT
Date: 2021 03 03
#Event Begin Max End Obs Q Type Loc/Frq Particulars Reg#
7060 0000 0003 0012 LEA 3 FLA S16E43 SF 2807
7070 0023 0023 0036 LEA G RBR 245 230
7080 + 0056 0101 0105 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B1.4 5.0E-05 2807
7090 + 0129 0134 0138 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B1.6 5.8E-05 2807
7100 + 0150 0153 0157 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B5.1 1.2E-04 2807
7110 0220 0222 0229 G17 5 XRA 1-8A B1.2 6.3E-05 2807
7120 + 0252 0302 0311 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B1.3 1.1E-04 2807
7130 + 0340 0343 0347 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B3.0 7.1E-05 2807

Proton Observations Section

GOES Proton Flux

Below shows the latest GOES Proton flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

3 Day Proton flux

F10.7 - Radio Indexes Section

DRAO Flux

Below shows the latest Solar Radio Flux Report courtesy of DRAO, Penticton.

Observed Flux Density76.6
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U.75.3

The Solar Wind Conditions Section

ACE 24 hr Data

Below shows the latest ACE space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

24 hour ACE data

DSCOVR data

Below shows the latest DSCOVR space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA and the latest GFZ Postdam Kp measurement. The data is processed by the University of Graz.

Latest DSCOVR data

ENLIL Simulation

Below shows the latest simulation from ENLIL courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest ENLIL Simulation

The Geomagnetic Conditions Section

NOAA kp Values

Below shows the latest Planetary K index courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest NOAA kp Values

Forecast Center Section

Solar Activity Monitor

Below shows the latest solar activity courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Solar X-rays : Status
Geomagnetic Field : Status

Latest SIDC Forecast

Below shows the latest SIDC Forecast.

SIDC URSIGRAM 10302
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 02 Mar 2021, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 02 Mar 2021 until 04 Mar 2021)
SOLAR FLARES : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Mar 2021 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 013
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Mar 2021 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 017
PREDICTIONS FOR 04 Mar 2021 10CM FLUX: 071 / AP: 010
---
COMMENT: Apart from a small new Alpha region that is already decaying
again, the Sun is spotless, and it did not produce any C flares in the past
24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at
only 1%.
No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available
coronagraphic imagery.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24
hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at nominal levels in the past 24
hours; moderate values are possible in the next 24 hours. The greater than
2 MeV electron fluence was at nominal levels during the past 24 hours, and
is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.
Solar wind speed near Earth as registered by DSCOVR first decreased from
about 470 km/s to about 350 km/s and then increased again to about 590
km/s, possibly related to the expected arrival of a high speed stream
associated with the negative polarity southern crown coronal hole that
crossed the Central Meridian on February 26. The Interplanetary Magnetic
Field (IMF) was predominantly oriented towards the Sun and its magnitude
varied between about 1 and 12 nT, with current values around 8 nT. Bz was
not below -5 nT for extended periods. Enhanced solar wind conditions are
expected in the next 24 hours.
Quiet to active conditions (K Dourbes between 1 and 4; NOAA Kp between 2
and 3) were registered in the past 24 hours. Active geomagnetic levels (K
Dourbes = 4) are possible on March 2, 3 and 4, with a chance for minor
geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes = 5).
---
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 012, BASED ON 16 STATIONS.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 01 Mar 2021
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 071
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 024
AK WINGST : ///
ESTIMATED AP : 028
ESTIMATED ISN : 010, BASED ON 28 STATIONS.
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
BT

Latest SWPC Forecast

Below shows the latest SWPC Forecast.

---
Solar Activity
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was very low. New Regions 2806 (S31W01, Bxo/beta) and
2807 (S17E43, Bxo/beta) were numbered today. No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed.
---
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with a slight chance
for C-class flaring on 03-05 Mar.
---
Energetic Particle
---
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained at background levels.
---
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to increase to moderate
to high levels on 03-05 Mar due to HSS influence. The greater than 10
MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.
---
Solar Wind
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters indicated the onset of a negative polarity CH HSS
beginning around 02/0500 UTC. Solar wind speed increased from
approximately 380 km/s to near 650 km/s. Total field ranged from 1-12 nT
while the Bz component was between +8/-7 nT. Phi angle was predominantly
oriented in a negative (towards) solar sector.
---
.Forecast...
Solar wind parameters are expected to continue to be enhanced through 03
Mar as the negative polarity HSS persists. A slow return to nominal
levels is expected on 04 Mar. By late on 05 Mar, another enhancement is
expected as a positive polarity CH HSS moves into geoeffective position.
---
Geospace
---
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm
levels due to CH HSS activity.
---
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to G1 (Minor)
levels with a chance for G2 (moderate) storming on 03 Mar as negative
polarity CH HSS activity persists. Quiet to unsettled levels are
expected on 04 Mar as activity slowly diminishes. On 05 Mar, a positive
polarity CH HSS is expected to become geoeffective causing unsettled to
active levels late in the UTC day.

Future Observations Section

Stonyhurst Heliographic image

Below shows the latest Stonyhurst Heliographic image, composed of STEREO EUVI observations. Data courtesy of the STEREO/SECCHI mission teams, NASA/GSFC.

Stonyhurst Image

Links Section

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Flare Links


Energetic Particle Links


Radio Links


CME Links


Solar Wind Links


Geomagnetism Links


Forecaster Center Links


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