Data lite forecasting tools (No big movies)

The purpose of this page is to provide a data-lite set of forecasting tools, it has been designed to be use on a phone, when data bandwidth is restricted or when a fast data connection is not available .


Solar Disk Observations Section

Latest AIA Observations

Below shows the Latest HMI-B image (Top Image), Latest AIA 304Å image (Middle Image), and latest AIA 193Å image (Bottom Image). Data courtesy of the SDO/AIA/HMI mission teams, NASA.

HMIB


AIA_304


AIA_193

CMEs Section

CACTUS

Below shows the latest CME detections, courtesy of the CACTus CME catalog, generated and maintained by the SIDC at the Royal Observatory of Belgium.

Cactus detections

Flare Observations Section

GOES 3 Day Flux

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Goes 3-day Plot

Latest GOES Flare Data

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flare detections, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Created: 2021 May 10 2217 UT
Date: 2021 05 10
#Event Begin Max End Obs Q Type Loc/Frq Particulars Reg#
1010 + 0552 //// 0553 LEA C RSP 025-165 III/1
1020 + 0736 0744 0750 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B1.0 7.8E-05
1030 1020 1037 1048 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B1.7 1.6E-04
1030 1048 1057 1101 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B1.9 1.5E-04
1040 + 1344 1352 1356 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B1.9 6.4E-05 2823
1040 1352 1352 1355 HOL 3 FLA S23E45 SF 2823
1050 1716 1724 1728 G17 5 XRA 1-8A B1.3 7.9E-05

Proton Observations Section

GOES Proton Flux

Below shows the latest GOES Proton flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

3 Day Proton flux

F10.7 - Radio Indexes Section

DRAO Flux

Below shows the latest Solar Radio Flux Report courtesy of DRAO, Penticton.

Observed Flux Density76.5
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U.78.0

The Solar Wind Conditions Section

ACE 24 hr Data

Below shows the latest ACE space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

24 hour ACE data

DSCOVR data

Below shows the latest DSCOVR space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA and the latest GFZ Postdam Kp measurement. The data is processed by the University of Graz.

Latest DSCOVR data

ENLIL Simulation

Below shows the latest simulation from ENLIL courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest ENLIL Simulation

The Geomagnetic Conditions Section

NOAA kp Values

Below shows the latest Planetary K index courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest NOAA kp Values

Forecast Center Section

Solar Activity Monitor

Below shows the latest solar activity courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Solar X-rays : Status
Geomagnetic Field : Status

Latest SIDC Forecast

Below shows the latest SIDC Forecast.

SIDC URSIGRAM 10510
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 10 May 2021, 1230UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 10 May 2021 until 12 May 2021)
SOLAR FLARES : C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 May 2021 10CM FLUX: 075 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 May 2021 10CM FLUX: 074 / AP: 004
PREDICTIONS FOR 12 May 2021 10CM FLUX: 073 / AP: 003
---
COMMENT: Solar activity was low over the past 24 hours. NOAA AR 2822
(Catania sunspot group 93) has a Beta-gamma magnetic configuration and
produced two C-class flares over the past 24 hours. The largest of those
was a C4 flare that peaked at 13:58 UT 9 May. NOAA AR 2816 (Catania sunspot
group 94) has appear on the disk during the last 24 hours, but its magnetic
configuration cannot yet be assessed. Solar activity is expect to be at a
low level over the next 24 hours, with one or more C-class flares likely
and a low probability of an M-class flare.
An Earth-bound CME was detected in SoHO/LASCO C2 and STEREO-A/COR2
coronagraph images at around 16:00 UTC. The estimated speed is 550 km/s and
it is expected to arrive late on 12 May.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24
hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than
2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold and is
expected to remain below this level during the next 24 hours. The 24-hour
electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so.
The Earth is under the influence of the slow solar wind. The solar wind
speed ranged between 320 and 380 km/s over the past 24 hours. The Bz
component of the magnetic field fluctuated between -5 and +10 nT. The
interplanetary magnetic field angle was negative (directed toward the Sun)
until aproximately 00:00 UT May 10 and then changed to predominantly
positive. The solar wind conditions are expected to continue to reflect the
slow solar wind regime for the next 24 hours. Slight enhancements in the
solar wind speed remain possible due to the influence of a series of small
negative polarity holes.
Geomagnetic conditions were quiet (NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 1-2) over
the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to continue to be
quiet for the next 24 hours.
---
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 031, BASED ON 18 STATIONS.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 09 May 2021
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 076
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 008
AK WINGST : 004
ESTIMATED AP : 003
ESTIMATED ISN : 017, BASED ON 30 STATIONS.
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
BT

Latest SWPC Forecast

Below shows the latest SWPC Forecast.

---
Solar Activity
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 2822 (N18E37, Dao/beta-gamma)
produced a C4/Sf at 09/1358. Region 2822 also produced a long duration
C2/Sf flare at 09/1449 UTC with an associated Type II radio sweep (407
km/s) and a CME seen in SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery beginning at 09/1436 UTC.
Newly numbered Region 2823 (N23E47, Cro/beta) was relatively quiet.
Other activity included a 15 degree filament eruption centered near
S22E10 at approximately 09/1000 UTC. An associated CME was also observed
beginning at 09/1123 UTC in STEREO A COR2 imagery. Initial analysis and
modeling of the events suggests CME effects may be observed at Earth on
13 May.
---
.Forecast...
Solar activity is likely to be at low levels, with a slight chance for
further M-class (R1-R2 radio blackouts) flares over 10-12 May.
---
Energetic Particle
---
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was normal to moderate and the
greater than 10 MeV proton flux continued at background values.
---
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be normal to
moderate 10-12 May and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected
to remain at background.
---
Solar Wind
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters, as measured by the DSCOVR spacecraft, were
slightly enhanced. Total magnetic field strength reached a peak of 12
nT. The Bz component has been primarily positive. Solar wind speeds
remained low, between ~325-385 km/s. Phi angle transitioned from the
positive sector to the negative sector after 10/0245 UTC, which
suggested the passage of a SSBC.
---
.Forecast...
A weak enhancement from interaction with a small, negative polarity CH
HSS is possible on 10-11 May. Nominal conditions are likely to prevail
on 12 May.
---
Geospace
---
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
---
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on 10-12 May, with
isolated unsettled periods possible for 10-11 May.

Future Observations Section

Stonyhurst Heliographic image

Below shows the latest Stonyhurst Heliographic image, composed of STEREO EUVI observations. Data courtesy of the STEREO/SECCHI mission teams, NASA/GSFC.

Stonyhurst Image

Links Section

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Flare Links


Energetic Particle Links


Radio Links


CME Links


Solar Wind Links


Geomagnetism Links


Forecaster Center Links


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