Data lite forecasting tools (No big movies)

The purpose of this page is to provide a data-lite set of forecasting tools, it has been designed to be use on a phone, when data bandwidth is restricted or when a fast data connection is not available .


Solar Disk Observations Section

Latest AIA Observations

Below shows the Latest HMI-B image (Top Image), Latest AIA 304Å image (Middle Image), and latest AIA 193Å image (Bottom Image). Data courtesy of the SDO/AIA/HMI mission teams, NASA.

HMIB


AIA_304


AIA_193

CMEs Section

CACTUS

Below shows the latest CME detections, courtesy of the CACTus CME catalog, generated and maintained by the SIDC at the Royal Observatory of Belgium.

Cactus detections

Flare Observations Section

GOES 3 Day Flux

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Goes 3-day Plot

Latest GOES Flare Data

Below shows the latest GOES x-ray flare detections, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

Created: 2020 Nov 25 0527 UT
Date: 2020 11 25
#Event Begin Max End Obs Q Type Loc/Frq Particulars Reg#
1230 0004 0014 0022 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B6.5 4.3E-04 2786
1230 0022 0025 0030 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B7.4 3.6E-04 2785
1230 0029 //// 0032 LEA C RSP 025-094 III/1
1240 0115 //// 0116 LEA C RSP 026-136 III/1
1250 0127 0136 0143 G16 5 XRA 1-8A B5.6 4.9E-04 2786
1260 0157 //// 0158 LEA C RSP 025-059 III/1
1270 0347 0402 0421 G16 5 XRA 1-8A C3.4 4.6E-03 2786
1270 + 0355 0355 0401 LEA 3 FLA S16E62 SF ERU 2786

Proton Observations Section

GOES Proton Flux

Below shows the latest GOES Proton flux measurments, courtesy of the GOES mission team, SWPC/NOAA.

3 Day Proton flux

F10.7 - Radio Indexes Section

DRAO Flux

Below shows the latest Solar Radio Flux Report courtesy of DRAO, Penticton.

Observed Flux Density99.6
Flux Density Adjusted for 1 A.U.97.1

The Solar Wind Conditions Section

ACE 24 hr Data

Below shows the latest ACE space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

24 hour ACE data

DSCOVR data

Below shows the latest DSCOVR space weather conditions courtesy of SWPC/NOAA and the latest GFZ Postdam Kp measurement. The data is processed by the University of Graz.

Latest DSCOVR data

ENLIL Simulation

Below shows the latest simulation from ENLIL courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest ENLIL Simulation

The Geomagnetic Conditions Section

NOAA kp Values

Below shows the latest Planetary K index courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Latest NOAA kp Values

Forecast Center Section

Solar Activity Monitor

Below shows the latest solar activity courtesy of SWPC/NOAA.

Solar X-rays : Status
Geomagnetic Field : Status

Latest SIDC Forecast

Below shows the latest SIDC Forecast.

SIDC URSIGRAM 01124
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 24 Nov 2020, 1231UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 24 Nov 2020 until 26 Nov 2020)
SOLAR FLARES : C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 24 Nov 2020 10CM FLUX: 099 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 25 Nov 2020 10CM FLUX: 101 / AP: 005
PREDICTIONS FOR 26 Nov 2020 10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 007
---
COMMENT: Solar activity was at low levels in the past 24 hours. NOAA Active
Region (AR) 2785 (Beta) continued to produce C-class flares, including a
C4.3 flare at 23:35 UT Nov 23. NOAA AR 2783 (Beta) remained quiet, while
NOAA AR 2784, in the northern hemisphere, decayed into a plage region.
Another large sunspot (Alpha), numbered as NOAA AR 2786, has rotated onto
the disk at S16E65. The solar activity is expected to remain at low levels
with a high chance for C-class flares, particularly from NOAA ARs 2785 and
2786. An isolated M-class flare also remains possible.
No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) have been detected in the
available coronagraphic imagery.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24
hours and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2
MeV electron flux exceeded the 1000 pfu alert threshold in response to the
high solar wind speed associated with the Coronal Hole (CH) crossing
central meridian on Nov 19. It is expected to increase even further during
the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at moderate levels and is
expected to continue to be at moderate levels for the next 24 hours before
then decreasing.
Over the past 24 hours, the solar wind speed remained elevated but
continued to show a declining trend, decreasing from around 550 to 430 km/s
(DSCOVR). The total magnetic field strength remained below 4 nT. Bz was
mostly negative, with a minimum value of -3 nT. The phi angle continued to
be predominantly in the positive sector. The solar wind is expected to
continue to show a declining speed for the next 24 hours with possible
further enhancements in the solar wind conditions on Nov 26 from the
extension to the northern polar CH, which crossed the central meridian on
Nov 23.
Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled over the past 24 hours (NOAA
Kp and local k Dourbes recorded values of 0-2 and 0-3, respectively).
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to continue at quiet to unsettled
levels for the next 24 hours with the possibility of an active interval on
Nov 26 in response to the predicted possible further enhancements in the
solar wind.
---
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 037, BASED ON 17 STATIONS.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 23 Nov 2020
WOLF NUMBER CATANIA : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 096
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 011
AK WINGST : 008
ESTIMATED AP : 008
ESTIMATED ISN : 040, BASED ON 26 STATIONS.
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM Catania/NOAA RADIO_BURST_TYPES
NONE
END
BT

Latest SWPC Forecast

Below shows the latest SWPC Forecast.

---
Solar Activity
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 2783 (S20W19, Cso/beta)
began to decay near the end of the period, losing many of its trailer
and intermediate spots. Region 2785 (S20E44, Hsx/alpha) also began to
exhibit signs of decay, yet managed to produce a couple of low-level C1
flares during the period. Region 2786 (S15E59, Cko/beta) developed a
small trailer spot but remained mostly quiet.
Additional activity included a CME first visible in LASCO C2 imagery at
24/0500 UTC. This feature is likely associated with a C1 flare from
Region 2785. Analysis determined this CME to be off the Sun-Earth line
to the SE. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in coronagraph imagery.
---
.Forecast...
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels, with C-flares
likely on 25-27 Nov.
---
Energetic Particles
---
.24 hr Summary...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to high levels,
and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.
---
.Forecast...
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on
25-27 Nov due to CH HSS influence. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux
is expected to persist at background levels all three days.
---
Solar Wind
---
.24 hr Summary...
Solar wind parameters continued to reflect the steady return to a near
background solar wind regime. Solar wind speed gradually decreased from
just under 500 to near 400 km/s by the end of the period. Total
field averaged near 3 nT, and the Bz component was negligible. Phi angle
was mostly oriented in a predominately positive solar sector.
---
.Forecast...
The solar wind environment is expected to continue near background
levels on 25 Nov. By 26 Nov, weak enhancements from the positive
polarity extensions from the north polar crown are expected to move into
a geoeffective position. These enhancements are expected to begin
tapering off late on 27 Nov.
---
Geospace
---
.24 hr Summary...
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.
---
.Forecast...
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels,
with isolated active periods possible, throughout the forecast period
(25-27 Nov).

Future Observations Section

Stonyhurst Heliographic image

Below shows the latest Stonyhurst Heliographic image, composed of STEREO EUVI observations. Data courtesy of the STEREO/SECCHI mission teams, NASA/GSFC.

Stonyhurst Image

Links Section

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